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Wednesday, October 17, 2018

Gold Price Prediction – Gold Consolidates Forming Bull Flag Pattern

Gold prices attempted to move higher on Tuesday but were unable to pierce through resistance levels. Prices were unable to make a new high for October and continues to form a bull flag pattern. Stronger than expected Jobs Openings along with a robust Industrial production, buoyed the dollar, while yields remained flat. It appears that wage growth is lagging the lack of labor.

Technical Analysis

XAUUSD 0.23% is approaching its resistance at 1235 (100%  Fibonacci extension , 38.2%  Fibonacci retracement , horizontal overlap resistance) where it could potentially reverse down to its support 1210 (100%  Fibonacci extension , 50%  Fibonacci retracement , horizontal pullback support).  Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is approaching its resistance at 95% where a corresponding reversal could occur.

Jobs Data Was Strong but Wages Have Yet to Climb

The JOLTS reported showed that job openings hit a record in August, indicating companies could face more inflationary pressures as wages climb. The vacancies level hit 7.14 million for the month, according to the Federal Reserve. The total number of hires also reached a record of 5.78 million.
Openings trumped total level of workers looking for jobs, which stood at 6.23 million for that month and fell to 5.96 million in September. The JOLTS is closely as in indicator of when worker wages might start catching up with the acceleration in employment and the rapid decline in unemployment.
The quits rate, which reflects confidence that people can easily find other jobs edged just a shade lower from July to 3.58 million. The rate, which counts those who voluntarily left positions, jumped 12.7% from August 2017.

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